Prediction of Viktor Frydrych vs Matthew Summers at Soma Bay Challenger 11-16-25

• How do second serve stats compare? Recently, Matthew Summers has outperformed Viktor Frydrych, securing 45.35% of points compared to Frydrych's 41.78%. This could give Summers a slight edge.
• Return game statistics reveal Viktor Frydrych leading in second serve returns, winning 48.58% of points, whereas Summers is at 43.45%. Frydrych could dominate the return games.
• In first serve returns, Summers holds a minor advantage with a 29.58% success rate over Frydrych's 28.20%, showcasing his ability to capitalize on opponent mistakes.
• Under pressure, Summers is slightly more effective, saving 57.10% of breakpoints compared to Frydrych's 56.15%, which could be critical in tight moments.
• When considering overall performance, Summers has a marginally better win rate over the past year at 59.38%, while Frydrych's is 57.38%, suggesting more consistent play by Summers.
• Both players excel on Hard courts with identical win percentages of 60%. However, on indoor hard surfaces, Summers shows a slight advantage with a 25% win rate over Frydrych’s 20%.
• Regarding the level of competition, Summers has faced tougher opponents, with an average rank of 97.13, compared to Frydrych's 201.43, potentially indicating a higher level of experience.
• In deciding sets, Summers has a slight edge, winning 57% of them, while Frydrych has won 54%, which could be decisive in a prolonged match.
• The current form at the event and their specific performance should also be considered for sharper predictions.

Editorial Prediction (November 15, 2025, UTC):

As Viktor Frydrych and Matthew Summers prepare to face off, several statistics reveal a competitive and closely matched contest. Summers shows enhanced performance under pressure and during second serve scenarios, a key element that might tilt the scales in his favor in critical game moments.

However, Frydrych's strong return capabilities, especially on an opponent's second serve, can disrupt his opponent's rhythm, creating opportunities for pivotal breaks. Additionally, Frydrych's similar hard court proficiency suggests a balanced confrontation on this surface.

Ultimately, despite the close margins, Matthew Summers surfaces as the slight favorite. With better performance against tougher opponents over the past year and a propensity to perform under pressure, he is likely to emerge victorious in the upcoming match.